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ProbLog is a probabilistic logic programming language that extends Prolog with probabilities.[1][2][3] It minimally extends Prolog by adding the notion of a probabilistic fact, which combines the idea of logical atoms and random variables. Similarly to Prolog, ProbLog can query an atom. While Prolog returns the truth value of the queried atom, ProbLog returns the probability of it being true. SemanticsA probabilistic fact is a pair with a ground atom and the probability of being true. A rule is defined by an atom , called the head, and a finite set of literals , called the body. ProbLog programs consist of a set of probabilistic facts and a set of rules . Using the distribution semantics, a probability distribution is defined over the two-valued well-founded models of the atoms in the program. The probability of a model is defined as where the product runs over all the literals in the model . For a query atom the distribution semantics defines a probability for the query in which the sum runs over all the models where is true. ProbLog supports multiple tasks:
ExampleProbLog can for example be used to calculate the probability of getting wet given the probabilities for rain and the probabilities that someone brings an umbrella as follows: 0.4 :: rain(weekday). 0.9 :: rain(weekend). 0.8 :: umbrella_if_rainy(Day). 0.2 :: umbrella_if_dry(Day). umbrella(Day) :- rain(Day), umbrella_if_rainy(Day). umbrella(Day) :- \+rain(Day), umbrella_if_dry(Day). wet(Day) :- rain(Day), \+umbrella(Day). query(\+wet(weekend)). The last rule before the query states that someone gets wet if it rains and no umbrella was brought. When ProbLog is asked to solve the "probabilistic inference" task, the query asks for the probability to stay dry on a weekend day. When solving the "most probable explanation" task, ProbLog will return the most likely reason for staying dry, i.e. because it is not raining or because the person has an umbrella. ImplementationsThe ProbLog language has been implemented as a YAP Prolog library (ProbLog 1).[4] and as a stand-alone Python framework (ProbLog 2)[5] The source code of ProbLog 2 is licensed under Apache License, Version 2.0 and available on GitHub.[6] The ProbLog language has also been implemented as part of the cplint probabilistic logic programming package for SWI-Prolog, YAP and XSB.[7] ProbLog variantsProbLog has been extended or used as inspiration for several different variants, including:
Related languagesFurther readingReferences
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